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Angara Four Prong Round Natural Ruby Twisted Shank Ring in 14k White Gold EAtEjYVMN
Angara Four Prong Round Natural Ruby Twisted Shank Ring in 14k White Gold
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Travelocity and The American Distilling Institute named Grand Rapids #10 by population in their "America’s Top 20 Craft Spirits Tourism Destinations" list. Click here for the full article.

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 11, 2017 CONTACT: Stephanie Kotschevar, Experience Grand Rapids 616-233-3577, skotschevar@experiencegr.com WORLD FOOD TRAVEL ASSOCIATION ANNOUNCES 2017 FOODTREKKING

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Expedia named Grand Rapids one of "20 of the greenest cities in the nation". Click here for the full article.

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USA Today 10Best named Grand Rapids the #1 Best Beer Scene in 2017! Click here for the full article.

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Expedia's travel blog viewfinder named Grand Rapids #18 of "21 super cool US cities, ranked". Click here for the full article.

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FlipKey by TripAdvisor named Frederik Meijer Gardens Sculpture Park the "Top Spring Gardens Conservation Areas Worth Traveling For" in Michigan. Click here for the full article.

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Thrillist named Grand Rapids one of the "Underappreciated American Cities You Should Totally Move To" due to the beer, art and music scenes. Click here for the full article.

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Grand Rapids was named the 10th \in ValuePenguin's "The Best Cities for Small Business Owners" poll. Click here for the full article.

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U.S. News World Report ranked Grand Rapids #19 on it's "100 Best Places to Live in the USA" list. Click here for the full article.

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Trivago named Grand Rapids the fifth Best Value Cities for Craft Beer and Cycling. Click here for the full article.

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Pure Romance Reveals “Sexiest City in America” for 2016 with Philadelphia taking top position CINCINNATI (December 14, 2016) – For the first time in three years, there is a new U.S. city that earns

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TheRevver named Grand Rapids #20 on their Best Motorcycle Locations in the United States 2016 list. Click here for the full article.

Returning to the issue of future projections of aggregate activity (PDI, as in Fig. 1), while there remains a lack of consensus among various studies on how Atlantic hurricane PDI will change, no model we have analyzed shows a sensitivity of Atlantic hurricane PDI to greenhouse warming as large as that implied by the observed Atlantic PDI/local SST relationship shown in Figures 1 (top panel). In other words, there is little evidence from current dynamical models that 21st century climate warming will lead to large (~300%) increases in tropical storm numbers, hurricane numbers, or PDI in the Atlantic . As noted above, there is some indication from high resolution models of substantial increases in the numbers of the most intense hurricanes even if the overall number of tropical storms or hurricanes decreases.

there is little evidence from current dynamical models that 21st century climate warming will lead to large (~300%) increases in tropical storm numbers, hurricane numbers, or PDI in the Atlantic

Finally, one can ask when a large increase in Category 4-5 hurricanes, as projected by our earlier Bender et al. (2010) study, would be expected to be detectable in the Atlantic hurricane records, if it occurred in the real world. Owing to the large interannual to decadal variability of SST and hurricane activity in the basin, Francesco Scognamiglio JEWELRY Necklaces su YOOXCOM 2AxsJ
estimate that detection of an anthropogenic influence on intense hurricanes would not be expected for a number of decades, even assuming a large underlying increasing trend (+10% per decade) occurs . While there is a large rising trend since the mid 1940’s in observed category 4-5 numbers in the Atlantic, our view is that these data are not reliable for trend calculations, until they have been further assessed for data homogeneity problems, such as those due to changing observing practices.

detection of an anthropogenic influence on intense hurricanes would not be expected for a number of decades, even assuming a large underlying increasing trend (+10% per decade) occurs

Apart from greenhouse warming, other human influences conceivably could have contributed to recent observed increases in Atlantic hurricanes. For example, Mann and Emanuel (2006) hypothesize that a reduction in aerosol-induced cooling over the Atlantic in recent decades may have contributed to the enhanced warming of the tropical North Atlantic, relative to global mean temperature. However, the cause or causes of the recent enhanced warming of the Atlantic, relative to other tropical basins, and its effect on Atlantic tropical cyclones, remains highly uncertain (e.g., Booth et al. 2012 ; Zhang et al. 2013; Zales 1/4 CT Tw Diamond Cushion Frame Twist Shank Promise Ring in Sterling Silver r9SMCfZOh
; Villarini and Vecchi 2013 ). A number of anthropogenic and natural factors (e.g., aerosols, greenhouse gases, volcanic activity, solar variability, and internal climate variability) must be considered as potential contributors, and the science remains highly uncertain in these areas. IPCC AR5 concluded that there is medium confidence that reduced aerosol forcing contributed to the observed increase in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity since the 1970s, but does not state any estimate of the magnitude of contribution. They also conclude that it remains uncertain whether there are any detectable changes in past tropical cyclone activity.

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Operationalizing academic resilience as students' cognitive-affective and behavioral responses to academic adversity, the present study seeks to establish examples of context-specific resilience factors and resilience responses to academic adversity. Self-efficacy has been identified as a key construct in previous studies examining factors affecting academic achievement (e.g., Cassidy, 2012 ), where high self-efficacy is commonly reported as associated with better academic performance. What has not been clearly established in these studies are the specific responses of self-efficacious students to instances of academic adversity, when self-efficacy beliefs are particularly relevant because of their association with increased motivation and perseverance ( Bandura, 1997 ) and resistance to negative thought ( Ozer and Bandura, 1990 ). Hamill (2003) has explored this issue but using generalized measures of self-efficacy and coping responses in the context of general stressful life events in a small sample of 16–19 year old students—limitations which Hamil partly acknowledges. Hamil reported an association between self-efficacy and resilience, adding support to the merits of the present study and its aim of uncovering differences in context-specific resilience responses adopted by self-efficacious and non-self-efficacious students, and the study's longer-term objective of promoting resilient responses in students.

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, p. 13) define resilience as “referring to patterns of positive adaptation in the face of adversity…,” and describe resilience as requiring “that significant adversity or threat to adaptation or development has occurred” and “that functioning is okay, either because adequate adaptation was sustained over a period of adversity or because recovery to adequate functioning has been observed.” In order to represent the key constituents of resilience (i.e., adversity and positive adaption) in a context-specific and authentic manner to serve the purposes of the study, an academic adversity case vignette and a response to academic adversity scale (Academic Resilience Scale-30) were developed [see Section Academic Resilience Scale-30 (ARS-30)].

The content of the case vignette was intended to represent adversity in a context-specific academic setting that undergraduate students would consider authentic despite its hypothetical nature. The vignette describes academic failure and its wider impact as an example of authentic adversity for students. Although there is some debate in the existing literature on the specific effects of, and perceptions of, negative feedback (e.g., Kluger and DeNisi, 1996 ), reference in the vignette to failure and the wider negative impact of such failure was considered to be sufficient to instill academic adversity. There are two versions of the vignette presented in Section Academic Resilience Scale-30 (ARS-30), personalized and vicarious . The personalized vignette asks that participants imagine that they are personally facing adversity and how they would respond, whilst the vicarious vignette asks participants to imagine that a fellow student is facing adversity and how that student should respond. The vicarious vignette was developed in order to explore any differences between responses to personal adversity and responses advocated for a fellow student facing adversity, and to examine in what way self-efficacy beliefs are associated with any differences. Gaining such insight may be valuable for resilience building interventions, whereby any differences in personal and advocated responses can be used to highlight self-limiting responses or belief systems that may also limit students' capacity for acting in advocate roles, including peer-assisted learning programmes.

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